BTW, if Sotomayor were willing to retire, I know a perfectly good replacement for her; Kamala Harris. Kamala is ten years younger, has legal creds and experience, and she sucks as VP. This solves all of that.
I think a Polis or Shapiro would probably mop the floor with Trump if they could magically be swapped onto the ballot, but of course they're not who the loudest voices have in mind when they use age as an excuse to try to muscle in their preferred candidates, and the chaos of a late-breaking primary would absolutely destroy the party.
Not to be “that guy” (ok, I’m “that guy”), but (leaving aside wildly different general election results) weren’t Goldwater 1964 and Reagan 1980 examples of GOP voters “falling in love?” And Mondale 1984, Gore 2000, and Kerry 2004 of Dems “falling in line?” Even Clinton 1992 wasn’t exactly love at first sight.
What Biden should do is try to pass laws that put more explicit limitations on presidential power. Not sure what the laws would be but that’s for eggheads in Washington to figure out.
The time to do that was 2021-22. Transparently attempting to constrain a looming Trump presidency after Biden has spent 3+ years (ab)using executive authority to its absolute limits isn't going to endear him to the House Republicans whose votes he would need for such an effort.
One other update, at least in the Trump era, is that it appears the voter turnout equation has flipped. It used to be, and still is as priors await update, that Democrats talk about needing high turnout, getting those marginal voters out. Well, no, not if you want Biden to win, or at least it appears via the work of Nate Cohn. Marginal voters, those that I'm defining as not voting in midterms and all Presidential elections, are much more pro-Trump than engaged voters.
I think you're off. There are millions of former Dem voters like me ready to go hard right populist. We are suppressed and censored to the point of invisibility though so the info has not made it into many of the other bubbles or silos.
Bloomberg made an interesting graphic about how different professions donated in 2020. It breaks apart different types of analysts, but you're not too far off
82% of Business Analysts donated to Biden. Data analysts are at 85%. People who described themselves as just "analyst" were excluded.
The GOP will still keep some well-educated people with high paychecks though. Tax cuts save you money even if they're being signed by someone eating KFC and watching Bloodsport on fast forward. That's why I'd guess surgeons and dentists are almost 50/50.
NorCal has some country boys. Currently, a bunch of them are mad at Marc Andreesen and Laurene Jobs about some utopia they want to build in their (the country boys') backyard that I'm probably going to move to, because at least then maybe I can get some mountain bike trails.
You know who else thinks Biden has been a good president? The Taliban.
BTW, if Sotomayor were willing to retire, I know a perfectly good replacement for her; Kamala Harris. Kamala is ten years younger, has legal creds and experience, and she sucks as VP. This solves all of that.
I get the “Biden is too old” thing, I really do, but I just don’t see who Democrats imagine would poll better at this point.
I think a Polis or Shapiro would probably mop the floor with Trump if they could magically be swapped onto the ballot, but of course they're not who the loudest voices have in mind when they use age as an excuse to try to muscle in their preferred candidates, and the chaos of a late-breaking primary would absolutely destroy the party.
Not to be “that guy” (ok, I’m “that guy”), but (leaving aside wildly different general election results) weren’t Goldwater 1964 and Reagan 1980 examples of GOP voters “falling in love?” And Mondale 1984, Gore 2000, and Kerry 2004 of Dems “falling in line?” Even Clinton 1992 wasn’t exactly love at first sight.
Both of them might be the only people on earth capable of electing one another.
FWIW, the Sacramento area in the 40s and 50 was *absolutely* cowboy country.
What Biden should do is try to pass laws that put more explicit limitations on presidential power. Not sure what the laws would be but that’s for eggheads in Washington to figure out.
The time to do that was 2021-22. Transparently attempting to constrain a looming Trump presidency after Biden has spent 3+ years (ab)using executive authority to its absolute limits isn't going to endear him to the House Republicans whose votes he would need for such an effort.
I suppose. I guess I was thinking as more of a way to call the Republicans’ bluff, ie “you say you want less government? OK let’s do this…”
One other update, at least in the Trump era, is that it appears the voter turnout equation has flipped. It used to be, and still is as priors await update, that Democrats talk about needing high turnout, getting those marginal voters out. Well, no, not if you want Biden to win, or at least it appears via the work of Nate Cohn. Marginal voters, those that I'm defining as not voting in midterms and all Presidential elections, are much more pro-Trump than engaged voters.
Stay home people!
I think you're off. There are millions of former Dem voters like me ready to go hard right populist. We are suppressed and censored to the point of invisibility though so the info has not made it into many of the other bubbles or silos.
Bloomberg made an interesting graphic about how different professions donated in 2020. It breaks apart different types of analysts, but you're not too far off
https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2020-election-trump-biden-donors/?embedded-checkout=true
82% of Business Analysts donated to Biden. Data analysts are at 85%. People who described themselves as just "analyst" were excluded.
The GOP will still keep some well-educated people with high paychecks though. Tax cuts save you money even if they're being signed by someone eating KFC and watching Bloodsport on fast forward. That's why I'd guess surgeons and dentists are almost 50/50.
NorCal has some country boys. Currently, a bunch of them are mad at Marc Andreesen and Laurene Jobs about some utopia they want to build in their (the country boys') backyard that I'm probably going to move to, because at least then maybe I can get some mountain bike trails.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BJifLNqKMZw