Walter White showed both that it is dangerous to leave people without any healthcare whatever, and that someone who needs a medical procedure might unexpectedly turn into a drug dealer. So abortion was kept legal, but simultaneously, restrictions were added accross the healthcare system so crime lords have fewer incentives to use hospitals for money laundering. If this sounds like a stretch, think about the cost of healthcare in the US, and consider the metric tons of money you could whitewash with just a little tweaking. I'll never understand why so-called criminal geniuses went for KFCs and car washes instead of thinking bigger.
I’m opposed to scrapping the filibuster, as any law passed with 50 votes could just get undone as soon as the Senate changes hands in 5 minutes. That said, Collins and Murkowski have a bill that is all of 3 pages long that “codifies” Roe and Casey, and Schumer “hasn’t read it yet.” If Dems can’t/won’t iron out a compromise that would pull Collins and Murkowski in, then fuuuuuuuuuuuuuck them. C & M are asking for only a couple of extremely reasonable things. Now, I know this still wouldn’t get 60 votes but Jesus Christ, at least try. Otherwise you’re proving, yet again, that you’re really just jazzed about this being midterm election fodder and you don’t actually give a crap about abortion access, just like you didn’t actually give a crap about passing the George Floyd Justice in Policing Act (yeah I’m still mad!)
Count me among those who think that the Republicans will 100% blow up the filibuster if they control the White House and Senate/House after the 2024 general election so that they can pass a national law banning abortion. They know very well where their bread is buttered, and that MAGA/Evangelical base wants this very badly. And, unlike the Democrats, they don't agonize over political niceties and/or political inconveniences like the filibuster. If it inhibits them, they'll get rid of it.
What happens in Europe? Mississippi's ban at 14 weeks is more liberal than most Europeans (even Western Europeans) live under. Are there massive waves of women dying there?
Jeffrey Rosen wrote something very smart years and years ago about what would happen when Roe fell. Long story short, complete momentum shift. Dems would get serious about offense rather than endlessly playing defense. And the process that was hijacked by Roe in 1973 would restart as women educated state legislatures about the evils of banning abortion. I’m not convinced, but it certainly seems plausible.
My read on the Alito leak is that this will remove a right to abortion from federal jurisdiction entirely. I’m not sure an act of Congress is enough to overcome that draft opinion- since most don’t occur across state lines you couldn’t just throw it into the commerce clause with everything else Congress passes for justification. I think an amendment might be required- and that is not.going.to.happen.
This whole thing is kind of a crappy situation- dare I say kind of like finding out one needs an abortion. The only silver lining I can see is that the Red team will massively overplay their hand with this and over time people will slowly push back against it after the white hot rage dies down. Roe was THE issue that made evangelicals political- it was the literal birth of the culture wars. So now they will slowly start to lose organizing energy around the issue and the advantage will shift back.
Walter White showed both that it is dangerous to leave people without any healthcare whatever, and that someone who needs a medical procedure might unexpectedly turn into a drug dealer. So abortion was kept legal, but simultaneously, restrictions were added accross the healthcare system so crime lords have fewer incentives to use hospitals for money laundering. If this sounds like a stretch, think about the cost of healthcare in the US, and consider the metric tons of money you could whitewash with just a little tweaking. I'll never understand why so-called criminal geniuses went for KFCs and car washes instead of thinking bigger.
I’m opposed to scrapping the filibuster, as any law passed with 50 votes could just get undone as soon as the Senate changes hands in 5 minutes. That said, Collins and Murkowski have a bill that is all of 3 pages long that “codifies” Roe and Casey, and Schumer “hasn’t read it yet.” If Dems can’t/won’t iron out a compromise that would pull Collins and Murkowski in, then fuuuuuuuuuuuuuck them. C & M are asking for only a couple of extremely reasonable things. Now, I know this still wouldn’t get 60 votes but Jesus Christ, at least try. Otherwise you’re proving, yet again, that you’re really just jazzed about this being midterm election fodder and you don’t actually give a crap about abortion access, just like you didn’t actually give a crap about passing the George Floyd Justice in Policing Act (yeah I’m still mad!)
Count me among those who think that the Republicans will 100% blow up the filibuster if they control the White House and Senate/House after the 2024 general election so that they can pass a national law banning abortion. They know very well where their bread is buttered, and that MAGA/Evangelical base wants this very badly. And, unlike the Democrats, they don't agonize over political niceties and/or political inconveniences like the filibuster. If it inhibits them, they'll get rid of it.
I wish Republicans would spend their energies overturning Wickard v Filburn vs. Roe v Wade.
What happens in Europe? Mississippi's ban at 14 weeks is more liberal than most Europeans (even Western Europeans) live under. Are there massive waves of women dying there?
Jeffrey Rosen wrote something very smart years and years ago about what would happen when Roe fell. Long story short, complete momentum shift. Dems would get serious about offense rather than endlessly playing defense. And the process that was hijacked by Roe in 1973 would restart as women educated state legislatures about the evils of banning abortion. I’m not convinced, but it certainly seems plausible.
My read on the Alito leak is that this will remove a right to abortion from federal jurisdiction entirely. I’m not sure an act of Congress is enough to overcome that draft opinion- since most don’t occur across state lines you couldn’t just throw it into the commerce clause with everything else Congress passes for justification. I think an amendment might be required- and that is not.going.to.happen.
This whole thing is kind of a crappy situation- dare I say kind of like finding out one needs an abortion. The only silver lining I can see is that the Red team will massively overplay their hand with this and over time people will slowly push back against it after the white hot rage dies down. Roe was THE issue that made evangelicals political- it was the literal birth of the culture wars. So now they will slowly start to lose organizing energy around the issue and the advantage will shift back.
Walter White ain’t exactly woke…..as a (pro life) libertarian I gotta laugh at liberals trying to make common cause….
"This will definitely stop extremely stupid people on Twitter from winging about …"
I think you meant "whinging" about!